Probably Stolen Guide

Appraisal & Spotting Fakes (Ribwich, Hands, Cigarettes)

Updated · Shop

Quick answer

There are two systems. Spotting fakes (from Day 3, when the Mentor gives you the Magnifying Glass): drag the glass onto an item, find one discrepancy against its manual, tick it and press Confront — a confirmed fake gets you a discount, a wrong call costs reputation. Appraisal (join the Appraiser Board for 85 credits on Normal): customers bring an item and you set its value; within 5% is Perfect. Ranks go Junior (Cybernetic Hands) → Appraiser (Ribwich) → Senior (Plasma Cartridges) → Master.

Appraisal system explained (playtest era – values may have changed) · Video by Piranowsky on YouTube
Appraising a gold-plated cybernetic hand under the magnifier next to the Cybernetic Hand Appraisal Guide
Appraising a Cybernetic Hand. Screenshot © Questing Goose Studio / tinyBuild (official Steam store media)

Part 1 – Spotting fakes

From Day 3 the Mentor gives you a Magnifying Glass and the Hemingway Identification Guide.

  1. Drag the glass onto the item to open the Inspection Tray and move the lens around.
  2. Compare against the item’s manual. One discrepancy is enough.
  3. Tick the reason in the Counterfeit Check panel and press Confront.

A confirmed fake earns a “Good Inspection Discount” (−15%) — allthings.how saw a fake 160-credit Food Stamp drop to 7. A wrong confrontation costs reputation.

Item What to check
Hemingway Cigarettes Lettering, colour, seal, logo (cross and vine), box
Food Stamp Only 40/80/120/160/200/240 exist; 160 and up must have a seal. A missing or damaged chip makes it unusable, not fake
Immunivax Injector 7-digit serial between 1250000 and 4559999; recalled batches 250, 251, 301, 355, 385, 386, 421. Expired/empty indicator or cracks = unusable, not fake
Water Label doesn’t match purity — test with a strip (water guide)
Ribwich See below
Inspecting a cigarette pack under the magnifier with the Hemingway authenticity handbook open
Checking cigarettes against the handbook. Screenshot © Questing Goose Studio / tinyBuild (official Steam store media)

Part 2 – The Appraiser Board

Join cost: 85 credits (Price Gouge / Mark Up), 170 (Thin Margins), 255 (Red Ink). An appraisal customer brings an item; you set an estimate with the −100 / −10 / −5 / −1 / +1 / +5 / +10 / +100 buttons (starts at 100).

Grade Your estimate vs real value
Perfect within 5%
Excellent within 10%
Good within 15%
Mediocre within 25%
Awful further off

Your fee is the rank’s base fee plus a share of the estimate based on the grade — allthings.how’s Perfect estimate of 215 at Junior paid 52.

Rank Base fee Points to promote Appraisal customer chance per day Item
Junior 20 100 33% Cybernetic Hands
Appraiser 40 150 42% Ribwich
Senior 60 250 48% Plasma Cartridges
Master 100 — 55% —

A failed promotion exam means a 7-day wait ⚠️. The appraisal board in your display case is what summons these customers — too many neon signs ahead of it can push its chance down a lot.

Cybernetic Hand (Junior)

Start at 100, minimum 50.

Feature Modifier
Material Aluminum +0 · Carbon +50 · Gold Plated +200
Condition Wear −35 · Damage −85
Interface EMG +0 · EMG+ +45 · Neural +120 · Unspecified −60
Add-ons Armored +50 · Blade +80
Sets Tactical +100 · Deluxe +200

Ribwich (Appraiser)

Start at 150, minimum 40.

Rule Value
Valid production periods Jan 425 – Dec 429 and Jan 432 – Dec 438
Valid packing facility numbers 01–35
1st production run +80
Produced 01/425 or 12/438 +50
High-quality facility (01, 02, 05, 08, 21, 34) +50
Low-quality facility (07, 15, 18, 26, 31) −50
Deluxe Edition +300
Double Meat Patty +800

It’s a counterfeit if: the date is missing or outside both runs · the facility number is missing or invalid · the Davre logo is missing or wrong · a 2nd-run Ribwich lacks its sticker (1st-run ones never have one) · a Deluxe has no sesame bun or no extra pickles. Absent, ripped or fake packaging = 40.

Plasma Cartridge (Senior)

Start at 300, minimum 90 (one fan wiki says 30 — allthings.how saw 90).

Feature Modifier
Wear Light −45 · Heavy −90 · Cracked −150
Build Exposed Screws −30 · Reinforced +60
Plasma colour Low Grade −150 · High-Grade +150
Manufacturer Wild’s Rides +60 · ZhongHua +120 · Republic Naval +120 · Ignition Lab +750 (each with conditions)

⚠️ The rank tables and value rules come from one firsthand source (allthings.how, Oct 29); the 33–55% customer chance is confirmed by a separate Steam guide.

FAQ

What is a Ribwich in Probably Stolen?

A branded, packaged rib sandwich (Davre logo; there's a Deluxe Edition and a Double Meat Patty version). It's the item you appraise at the second rank, Appraiser, using the Ribwich Appraisal Guide. Its value starts at 150 and can't drop below 40.

How do you spot a fake Ribwich?

Check the production date (must fall in Jan 425–Dec 429 or Jan 432–Dec 438), the packing facility number (01–35), the Davre logo, and the sticker — 2nd-run Ribwiches need the right sticker, 1st-run ones never have one. A Deluxe without the sesame bun or extra pickles is fake. Missing, ripped or fake packaging drops it to 40.

How do you get a perfect appraisal?

Your estimate has to be within 5% of the real value. Start from the item's base (100 for a Cybernetic Hand, 150 for a Ribwich, 300 for a Plasma Cartridge), add or subtract every modifier from the guide, then use the −100…+100 buttons. Ten perfects unlock An Eye for Value — about half of all players have it.

How much does it cost to join the Appraiser Board?

85 credits on Price Gouge or Mark Up, 170 on Thin Margins and 255 on Red Ink (allthings.how).

What happens if I confront a customer who isn't selling a fake?

You lose reputation and the customer may leave. One clear discrepancy is enough to confront, so don't guess.

Related guides

Sources

Checked against the current version on · Medium confidence — consistent community reports, not officially confirmed. Spotted something outdated? Tell us.

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